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With a number of premium skills having graduated over the previous 15 months, the Seattle Mariners’ farm system is trying rather a lot completely different.

Right here is my replace on the system that has produced Kyle Lewis, Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, George Kirby, and Logan Gilbert over the previous three-plus years.

All stats are for 2022, and thru June 30, 2022. All listed positions are projected positions as huge leaguers. Comps are higher-end projections to the prime of the MLB comp, relying on how far alongside the prospect is in his improvement. 

1. Edwin Arroyo, SS

Scoop: Arroyo exploded on the scene proper out of the gate this spring, exhibiting constant bat-to-ball abilities, and added energy to the equation late in April. He’s a stronger from the left aspect, however has produced lots as a right-handed hitter, suggesting a authentic likelihood he stays a change hitter for the lengthy haul. He’s displayed above-average lateral vary in addition to the the palms footwork to stay at shortstop. He received’t flip 19 till August 26 and is already beginning to present some affect traits with hit, energy, and glove instruments that grade above-average, notably for a middle-of-the-field defender.
Finest Software: Hit
ETA: 2025
Comp: Francisco Lindor

2. Noelvi Marte, 3B

Scoop: Marte, who has gone from speedster with fast twitch head to toe to energy prospect as he has crammed out bodily, has not carried out on the plate almost as a lot as he did a yr in the past when he batted .273/.366/.459 with 17 homers as a 19-year-old within the Cal League. He’s increasing his zone a bit, and lifting the ball rather a lot this season, resulting in elevated strikeout and fly ball charges. He nonetheless possesses the plus to plus-plus uncooked energy and is definitely swinging and lacking much less than he did a yr in the past. The query right here is the hit, not the ability, and even the protection, regardless of there being no likelihood in my thoughts he stays at shortstop long-term.
Finest Software: Energy
ETA: 2024
Comp: Aramis Ramirez

3. Harry Ford, C

Scoop: After a sluggish begin to 2022 (.209/.344/.291 in April/Might), however flipped the change in June and has executed little else however hit with energy for the final three-plus weeks (12 of 19 hits are for additional bases) to go together with a .307/.438/.661 slash. Defensively he’s a work-in-progress when it comes to receiving — which is greater than typical with younger backstops — however has showcased his athleticism and plus arm when the state of affairs permits. Proper now, there’s no cause to consider he received’t stick, however his bat might lap his glove and power the membership’s hand.
Finest Software: Energy
ETA: 2025
Comp: Russell Martin

4. Emerson Hancock, RHS

Scoop: Sadly there isn’t an entire lot to debate right here; Hancock managed simply 44.2 innings a yr in the past after seeing his closing yr at Georgia lower to only 4 outings (24 IP) and never having the ability to pitch as a professional after being the membership’s first-round decide in 2020. The shoulder situation could very nicely have been reasonably minor, however the membership takes its participant’s profession severely. In consequence, the day out carried over into 2022. Hancock has made eight begins masking 29.2 innings in Double-A Arkansas, exhibiting 92-96 mph velocity, above-average command of the fastball, and two 45-50 secondaries, led by a changeup with some swing-and-miss in it. The slider is essential for Hancock, however proper now it’s fringe-average and inconsistent. He has a curveball however he’s both not utilizing it in any respect or merely every now and then. However I’m not down on Hancock a lot exterior the misplaced improvement time. He’s 23 and simply getting in work that usually would have occurred in 2020 and 2021. However there’ll come a time when the stuff and future function might be front-and-center — most likely this time subsequent season.
Finest Software: Changeup
ETA: 2024
Comp: Jason Schmidt

5. Gabriel Gonzalez, LF

Scoop: Gonzalez is simply getting his skilled profession began, however his manufacturing has been spectacular early, and scouts and improvement staffers have lots of good issues to say in regards to the swing and recreation plan, and the way nicely the 2 match up. After rolling out a .287/.371/.521 slash in 54 video games int he DSL final summer time, the 18-year-old is torching the ACL in 17 video games (he’s reached base in all however two begins) together with 5 multi-hit efforts and 7 extra-base hits. There’s no loud device right here — there are lots of 50s throughout the board, however the hit device has an opportunity to be plus.
Finest Software: Hit
ETA: 2026
Comp: Shane Mack

6. Levi Stoudt, RHS

Scoop: Stoudt, 24, has gone from a right-hander with an above-average fastball and doubtlessly plus laborious changeup and common slider to, nicely, all of that with out the changeup half. At no level in 2022 has Stoudt even flashed a big-time changeup, and as an alternative is especially a two-pitch starter with no plus providing. He’s as much as 96 mph with form, however he’s not overpowering, and the slider is fringe-average in most outings, flashing common. Double-A hitters can hit him, and so they’re doing simply that. I nonetheless see a possible starter right here, however I’m satisfied it’s a No. Four ceiling, thus my lean towards a bullpen function for Stoudt, barring a return of the changeup that proper now could be merely a legend, not a weapon. There’s no projectable put-away pitch proper now, but it surely’s an excellent arm and customarily above-average management, however he wants that changeup and one thing tells me it’s nonetheless in there someplace, therefore the regular rating.
Finest Software: Management/Changeup
ETA: 2023 (reliever)
Comp: J.J. Putz

7. Bryce Miller, RHS

Scoop: Miller is a mix of arm pace, athleticism, and stuff, and when he instructions it he’s awfully powerful and could be the membership’s greatest rotation prospect. He’s battling some consistency points proper now, however has typically thrown strikes at a suitable charge. The fastball is as much as 97 mph and constantly 92-96 with a reasonably constant slider within the vary of common, with some projection towards plus within the offing. Miller’s changeup has been key for him; when he has it, he’s soiled, and may mow down any Excessive-A lineup and miss bats repeatedly, resulting in a 14% swinging strike charge in 13 video games in 2022. He additionally has a curveball with some promise. There’s nonetheless reliever danger right here, however he’s taken an enormous step in the fitting route since he was the membership’s fourth-round decide final summer time, and now profiles as a possible No. Three or a high-leverage reliever with three pitches.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2024
Comp: Luke Weaver

8. Matt Brash, RHR

Scoop: Whereas I wouldn’t completely quit on the concept of Brash being a legit starter, the Mariners have deserted that concept, a minimum of for the intermediate, as he’s getting used as a one-inning bullpen arm within the minors proper now. The uncooked stuff continues to be excellent; as much as 99 mph with a four-seamer to go together with a different breaking ball at 81-86 mph, each of which might miss bats. Repeating his supply and launch level is the impediment right here, however Brash is athletic and seems to be beginning a strategy of eliminating the outings when he unravels. There’s nonetheless some inconsistencies there, however there’s no denying the stuff and it’s potential affect — in any function — he simply has to throw sufficient strikes with it. Brash’s changeup, by the way in which, isn’t a misplaced trigger by any stretch, however proper now it’s all in regards to the fastball-slider (which within the low-80s is extra of a curveball in form and velo). Proper now he’s extra Daniel Bard, however tasks as a possible 2022 model of Matt Bush, all the way in which as much as Trevor Rosenthal.
Finest Software: Slider
ETA: 2022
Comp: Trevor Rosenthal

9. Lazaro Montes, OF

Scoop: It’s a little bit of a power-over-hit swing and recreation plan proper now, however Montes, 17, stays a complicated bat with an opportunity to be an on a regular basis nook bat. He’s an underrated athlete, however there’s legit concern he’ll in the end land at first base, which suggests the stress to hit is immense. His profession is simply three weeks previous however the swing-and-miss is a bit alarming, although it’s considerably overshadowed by his capacity to search out the barrel and hit line drives and deep fly balls at such a younger age.
Finest Software: Energy
ETA: 2027
Comp: Fred McGriff

10. Michael Arroyo, 3B

Scoop: Arroyo could find yourself the steal of the worldwide class due to a compact, line-drive swing that tasks to supply a minimum of common energy numbers. Early on, he’s making loads of laborious contact and half his hits are for additional bases. He’s a pure shortstop however already is being thought-about extra of a prospect at second or third, and will find yourself a tweener, the place the bat performs higher at second as a result of lack of prototypical energy, however the glove matches a lot better at third.
Finest Software: Hit
ETA: 2027
Comp: Edgardo Alfonzo

11. Juan Pinto, LHS

Scoop: I’m high-man on Pinto for 2 causes. First, he’s a beast bodily, now as much as 6-foot-Three or 6-foot-Four and simply over 200 kilos, and extra velocity has come along with his bodily maturation. Second, not lots of 17-year-old arms, not to mention a southpaw, can spin a curveball, with command, the way in which Pinto can proper now. At current, there are limits on his management and command pushed by inconsistent mechanics, and there’s no clear projectable third pitch, however he’s basically a highschool junior sitting low-90s with a future plus breaker that’s hanging out 28% of the batters he’s dealing with within the DSL. Gentle me on hearth, however I’ll take the danger hooked up to this sort of profile every single day of the week over a reliever-only arm or a bat with related questions, particularly contemplating this group’s obvious developmental strengths.
Finest Software: Curveball
ETA: 2027
Comp: Al Leiter

12. Jonatan Clase, CF

Scoop: Clase’s title was introduced up by a number of scouts and dev staffers once I requested about Arroyo and Ford. He’s 20 and performing in all aspects, including consistency in all phases, and enchancment on the plate when it comes to making contact, exhibiting extra pop. The moron right here will cry about strikeout charges, however isn’t sensible sufficient to note his Okay charge is 28% as a lefty with a sluggish, regular decline, a charge that solely exceeds 30% as a result of he’s close to 40% whiff as a right-handed batter. Clase could not find yourself a change hitter (.226/.250/.307 as RHB, .279/.380/.461 as LHB), however there may be lots of loud contact from a close to 6-foot-, 195-pound body, and the traits are all in the fitting route (.325/.402/.571 in June). He’s nonetheless cleansing up some issues defensively in middle, however stays a projectable defender there with a minimum of common arm power, and whereas he’s not fairly the burner he was a number of years in the past, it’s straightforward 65 pace that ought to make him a stolen-base menace. He’s going to want ample time on the plate and there’s additional outfielder danger right here, however this isn’t a one-trick pony or a punchless bat in search of lightning in a bottle.
Finest Software: Run
ETA: 2024
Comp: Brian McRae

13. Michael Morales, RHS

Scoop: Morales is generally projection proper now. He’s 88-91 mph with the fastball, and tasks for above-average management and command, however has had prolonged bouts of issues in each areas. He has three secondaries that appear like future big-league choices, led by two distinct breaking balls and constant arm pace. Bodily, from a standard standpoint, there isn’t lots of projection left, however I wouldn’t be stunned in any respect to see Morales come again in Yr 2 subsequent spring gunning 91-95 with consistency. Regardless of the 40-45 command, Morales has missed bats as a 19-year-old within the Cal League (that’s almost three years youthful than the typical participant and two-plus years youthful than the typical hitter). There’s some deception within the arm motion and I believe when he makes use of his decrease half extra successfully, the velo will arrive, and the snap on his curveball will change into extra obvious.
Finest Software: Curveball
ETA: 2025
Comp: Jeremy Hellickson

14. Taylor Dollard, RHS

Scoop: Dollard is getting constant outs in Double-A Arkansas with a median fastball into the 93-95 mph however extra constantly 91-92, due to command and three helpful offspeed pitches. The slider is his greatest pitch, sitting common to above-average most occasions out, and maybe plus in time, and his curveball and changeup scrape common, regardless of getting used comparatively sparingly. Dollard is extra seemingly a back-end starter than anything — his strike-throwing capacity comes straightforward — however he could get to the majors faster as a center reliever. I’d hate to waste his flooring, likelihood, and timeline on a reduction function, nonetheless.
Finest Software: Command
ETA: 2023
Comp: Jake Odorizzi

15. Adam Macko, LHS

Scoop: Macko is a bit undersized and has a historical past of battling management, drawing lots of comparisons to Scott Kazmir and Matt Moore, and he’s now been out for five-plus weeks with a non-pitching arm situation. However when he’s proper, Macko is as much as 97 mph in video games, holding 91-93 into the fifth and sixth, although there’s no prolonged consistency with the rate, and received’t be 22 till December 30. He’s an excellent athlete with some mechanical wrinkles to iron out, however the curveball and slider each mission to big-league ranges. He’s a little bit of a scratch ticket, and definitely a reliever danger, however the upside right here is at leas a No. Four that has some years he flirts with No.2/Three standing.
Finest Software: Curveball
ETA: 2024
Comp: Gio Gonzalez

16. Bryan Woo, RHR

Scoop: Woo is a reliever-only prospect, however one that ought to transfer shortly now that he’s wholesome off UCL surgical procedure. A variety of this rating is projecting a fringy slider, however Woo has answered a number of questions already: He’s pounding the strike zone big-time early off the IL and goes a number of innings with sustained management and velo, dwelling 93-97 mph. At full power, Woo could find yourself 95-100 mph with a median slider, lending some Andrés Muñoz-level vibes, and on the quick aspect of a timeline.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2023
Comp: Joe Kelly

17. Prelander Berroa, RHR

Scoop: I’ve Berroa sliding into the bullpen by the point he’s prepared for the bigs, however he’s seemed good in a few of his begins for the reason that commerce with the Giants, hanging out 38% of the batters he’s confronted. Nonetheless, he’s inconsistent out entrance and falls behind in counts, resulting in 4-5 innings outings. However the fastball is heavy and as much as 98 mph and his slider and changeup tease common, powerful the changeup is seldom-used.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2023 (reliever)
Comp: Diego Castillo

18. Isaiah Campbell, RHR

Scoop: Campbell has had two main interruptions to his professional profession within the type of harm, and a 3rd as a result of canceled 2020 season. After one other IL stint April 27-June 3, Campbell has labored solely in one-inning reduction stints, and has been terrific, touching 97 mph with aircraft, and improved management (1 stroll, 26 BF). He’s lacking bats (11 Ks) and limiting laborious contact (2 hits, each singles), and contemplating the right-hander is 25 in August it could be time to fast-track him by means of function. He has two breaking balls of which the slider is extra superior, however the curveball ought to a minimum of be an early-count and opposite-handed choice for him transferring ahead. He’s thrown a splitter with promise, a pitch which will resurface in a bullpen function.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2024
Comp: Luis Garcia

19. Stephen Kolek, RHR

Scoop: Kolek is beginning proper now and isn’t pulling it off, in my view — but. He has strong stuff, a minimum of sufficient to mission as a bullpen piece, and I wouldn’t fully rule him out of the bigger function. As a starter, he’s firmly 93-96 mph  with some trip to his arm aspect, and when in rhythm his supply is perfect and produces deception. He pairs the warmth with an above-average slider and 40-grade changeup, and does it from a three-quarter slot on a prototypical body. If he’s to hold onto his shot to begin, the changeup has to get higher and his common capacity to throw strikes should enhance — and fairly quickly, since he’s already 25. However this can be a big-league arm with two major-league high quality pitches simply ready for an opportunity to supply constant outs.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2023 (reliever)
Comp: Ken Giles

20. Alberto Rodriguez, RF

Scoop: Regardless of a downturn in manufacturing, there’s nonetheless rather a lot to love about Rodriguez on the plate. He hits the ball laborious sufficient (nonetheless) and hasn’t come out of his mechanics regardless of less-than-ideal outcomes. The swing stays quick and comparatively direct to the trail of the baseball; this season it’s extra line drives and fly balls, and he’s not attending to his pull aspect as successfully, which partially explains the shortage of energy versus a yr in the past. He’s a fringe-average glove with 40-grade pace, so Rodriguez has to hit to threaten the majors, however he’s simply 21 years of age and has above-average bat pace. He has been trending higher when it comes to getting on base and laborious contact, however the strikeout charge is simply too excessive (25%) for what could also be a medium-power bat (16-20 HR). You’re hoping for Troy O’Leary right here, however the probably consequence is someplace south of that, regardless of the off likelihood a Bobby Higginson-level bat is the consequence.
Finest Software: Hit
ETA: 2025
Comp: Jody Gerut

21. Starlin Aguilar, 1B

Scoop: The left-handed hitter has a fast, highly effective swing that helps him get to velocity and produce laborious contact. In consequence, he’s lower down his strikeouts a bit this season within the ACL, and his line-drive charge is up. He tasks to hit for energy, however we’re not seeing that but, and his bat pace and plate protection recommend a capability to hit for common, however he’s been uber aggressive to date within the ACL (a yr in the past he walked 29 occasions in 220 PAs and posted a .359 OBP within the DSL). Aguilar’s largest questions are centered on how a lot energy he can produce, as a result of he could not stick at third base and isn’t an excellent athlete, so he’s unlikely to efficiently change to the outfield, which means first base and DH time of excessive likelihood. However he’s simply 18 and discovering barrels whereas he finds a greater swing aircraft to create leverage and loft so his 100 mph contact produces doubles and homers and never singles or scorched floor ball outs. Attending to his pull aspect a bit extra regularly ought to assist.
Finest Software: Hit
ETA: 2027
Comp: Adam Lind

22. Travis Kuhn, RHR

Scoop: Kuhn is a reliever-only righty as much as 99 mph with a median to above-average slider and a few deception in his supply. The information on his stuff, particularly the fastball, recommend he’ll miss bats with it. He works the highest of the strike zone nicely and can pitch inside, then get righties to chase the slider away or keep on and at their palms with the warmth. He has bother throwing strikes constantly or he may already be within the huge leagues with a near-30% Okay charge and the barrel repulsion powers of his four-seamer.
Finest Software: Fastball
ETA: 2023
Comp: Brad Boxberger

23. Juan Mercedes, RHR

Scoop: Mercedes, who works solely from the stretch, has the scale to begin, however could not have the arsenal. He’s comfy throwing lots of sliders and may put the pitch within the zone anytime he needs, and it’s a median pitch with some upside when he makes use of it as a chase pitch. His fastball sits 91-94 mph with some fade and sink and he matches it with an excellent straight change he sells with constant arm pace. He’s greatest on the high of the zone, staying on the perimeters with the slider and utilizing the change versus lefties, however I’m unsure the fastball tasks nicely in that method, main me to suppose Mercedes could also be greatest utilized in reduction the place the fastball could tick as much as assist him miss extra bats and take some stress off the slider.
Finest Software: Slider
ETA: 2024
Comp: Edgar Santana

24. Joseph Hernandez, RHR

Scoop: Hernandez, 22, has burst onto the scene this season, lacking bats with a three-pitch arsenal. The precise-hander throws from a lower-than-typical slot, creating deception and angles which right-handed batters have but to deal with (.170 BAA). The fastball is low-90s — as much as 95 — with late motion( and sink when thrown down within the zone), and he’ll tunnel a plus, low-80s slider with tons of break. Hernandez additionally had a dead-fish changeup he’ll use versus lefties. He’s most likely a reliever primarily based on his present stuff, command, and developmental tempo — his measurement doesn’t trouble me a lot in any respect. However he’s athletic with that 60-grade slider and a really feel for a 3rd providing, is lacking bats 2-Three occasions by way of the order, suggesting a multi-inning reduction function much like that of Penn Murfee.
Finest Software: Slider
ETA: 2024 (reliever)
Comp: Danny Salazar

25. Robert Perez Jr., 1B

Scoop: On one hand I’m comparatively unimpressed by Perez’s 2022 season, contemplating he’s 22, repeating the extent, and the obvious trade of hit-for-power we’re seeing proper now, but it surely’s unattainable to disregard all the identical. It’s additionally value noting he simply turned 22 in June and has been extra selective and affected person on the plate, regardless of the drop in batting common from final season. He’s a first-base solely glove, regardless of a while within the outfield and even the 70-ish innings he’s manned the recent nook, so the extra dwelling run energy is welcomed. Nonetheless, he whiffs too typically, chasing off the plate and above his palms. That is in regards to the ceiling for Perez in my rankings, a minimum of till he performs in Excessive-A to recommend there’s a plausible path to the majors for him.
Finest Software: Energy
ETA: 2025
Comp: Gaby Sanchez

By Place

SP: 7
RP: 7
CO: 4
MI: 1

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Jason A. Churchill

Churchill based Prospect Insider in 2006 and spent a number of years masking prep, school and professional sports activities for numerous newspapers, together with The Information Tribune and Seattle PI. Jason spent Four 1/2 years at ESPN and two years at CBS Radio. He now serves because the Govt Copy Editor at Knowledge Skrive, a tech firm that manipulates information to supply automated content material to purchasers together with the AP, BetMGM, USA In the present day, and ESPN.
Discover Jason’s baseball podcast, Baseball Issues, proper right here.

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